Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
49.89% ( 0.03) | 24.09% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.72% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( 0.01) | 46.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( 0.01) | 68.34% ( -0.01) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( 0.02) | 18.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% ( 0.03) | 49.73% ( -0.03) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% ( -0.02) | 31.62% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% ( -0.02) | 68.03% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 34 | -26 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |