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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
East End Park
Ayr United

Dunfermline
0 - 1
Ayr

FT(HT: 0-1)
Chalmers (10')
Ahui (90+1')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Partick 3-0 Dunfermline
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-2 Ayr
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAyr United
45.16% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.13% (0.209 0.21) 28.71% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 51.31% (-0.786 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.2% (-0.955 -0.95)52.8% (0.958 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (-0.823 -0.82)74.42% (0.82600000000001 0.83)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.39800000000001 -0.4)23.3% (0.402 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.588 -0.59)57.25% (0.593 0.59)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (-0.67099999999999 -0.67)33.1% (0.674 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (-0.75 -0.75)69.69% (0.75500000000001 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 45.16%
    Ayr United 28.71%
    Draw 26.13%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 11.23% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.18% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.287 0.29)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.115 -0.11)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.165 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 28.71%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Dunfermline
2-1
Ayr
Cole (79'), Todorov (86')
O'Hara (37'), Polworth (68'), Pybus (86')
Muirhead (35' pen.)
Muirhead (78')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ayr
1-1
Dunfermline
Martin (17' og.)
McGinty (32'), Dempsey (39'), Murdoch (79')
Donaldson (10')
Chalmers (46'), Pybus (54'), Donaldson (68')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dunfermline
3-0
Ayr
McCann (14', 52'), Dow (40')
McCann (41')

Fjortoft (15')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
3-1
Dunfermline
Adeloye (3', 63'), Salkeld (25')
Murdoch (39'), Albinson (76')
Todorov (28')
Graham (78'), Todorov (90')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Ayr
1-1
Dunfermline
Miller (24')
McManus (12')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk18132334142041
2Livingston18106224111336
3Ayr UnitedAyr18104429171234
4Partick ThistlePartick178542011929
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park187472020025
6Raith Rovers176381722-521
7Greenock MortonMorton174761521-619
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton175392330-718
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline1843111422-815
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians181314836-286


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