Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
45.16% ( 0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.21) | 28.71% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.31% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( -0.95) | 52.8% ( 0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( -0.82) | 74.42% ( 0.83) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.7% ( -0.4) | 23.3% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( -0.59) | 57.25% ( 0.59) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% ( -0.67) | 33.1% ( 0.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.31% ( -0.75) | 69.69% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |