Scottish Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr0 - 1Morton
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Greenock Morton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-1 Ayr
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Morton 4-1 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
48.92% ( 0.33) | 24.92% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.2) | 49.46% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.5% ( -0.18) | 71.5% ( 0.17) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( 0.06) | 20.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.41% ( 0.09) | 52.58% ( -0.1) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( -0.36) | 33.33% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.04% ( -0.4) | 69.95% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
Ayr United 48.91%
Greenock Morton 26.16%
Draw 24.92%
| Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.16% |
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Sep 22, 2022 7.45pm
