Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
48.92% ( 0.33) | 24.92% ( -0.01) | 26.16% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.53% ( -0.2) | 49.46% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.5% ( -0.18) | 71.5% ( 0.17) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% ( 0.06) | 20.25% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.41% ( 0.09) | 52.58% ( -0.1) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% ( -0.36) | 33.33% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% ( -0.4) | 69.95% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 28 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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