Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
48.91% ( 0) | 24.48% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.7% ( 0.03) | 47.3% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% ( 0.03) | 69.53% ( -0.03) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.01) | 19.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( 0.02) | 51.2% ( -0.02) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% ( 0.02) | 31.83% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% ( 0.02) | 68.27% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Greenock Morton | Draw | Queen's Park |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.91% | 1-1 @ 11.59% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
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