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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Inverness CT
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 3
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Caledonian Stadium
Arbroath

Inverness
3 - 1
Arbroath

Mackay (47'), Allardice (71'), Todorov (78')
McKay (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Doolan (24')

The Match

Match Report

Both teams came into the match without a win in their first two Scottish Championship games.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.

Result
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawArbroath
56.53%23.67%19.79%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.27%50.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.37%72.63%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.24%17.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.55%48.45%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99%40%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34%76.66%
Score Analysis
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 56.53%
    Arbroath 19.79%
    Draw 23.66%
Inverness Caledonian ThistleDrawArbroath
1-0 @ 12.27%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.72%
3-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 5.6%
4-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-2 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 56.53%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.66%
0-1 @ 6.51%
1-2 @ 5.15%
0-2 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 19.79%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Inverness
0-1
Arbroath
Donnelly (47')
Hamilton (20'), Virtanen (76')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 13
Arbroath
3-0
Inverness
Stewart (28'), Linn (54' pen.), Kader (86')

Donaldson (38'), Todorov (39'), Tremarco (57')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Inverness
2-1
Arbroath
Doran (44'), Storey (82')
Donaldson (47')
Linn (26')
Spence (5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk20133337172042
2Ayr UnitedAyr20115432171538
3Livingston20106425151036
4Partick ThistlePartick2110562619735
5Queen's ParkQueen's Park218482322128
6Raith Rovers197391926-724
7Greenock MortonMorton195861722-523
8Hamilton AcademicalHamilton1963102734-721
9Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline2054112126-519
10AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians1913151039-296


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