Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
41.71% ( 0.03) | 23.98% | 34.3% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.04% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.77% ( -0) | 41.23% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.37% ( -0) | 63.62% ( 0.01) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80% ( 0.01) | 20% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.81% ( 0.02) | 52.18% ( -0.02) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( -0.02) | 23.7% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( -0.03) | 57.82% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Ayr United |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 20 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 38 |
3 | Livingston | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 36 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 21 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 19 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 6 |
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