Morton

2 - 0

Raith Rovers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.