Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
3 - 1
Motherwell

Gullan (17' pen.), Stanton (39'), Goncalves (85')
Lang (54'), Easton (61'), Dick (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

van Veen (51')
Slattery (17'), Butcher (81'), McKinstry (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Raith Rovers and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Raith Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Aberdeen 3-1 Motherwell
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Raith Rovers 1-0 Motherwell

Raith Rovers are in brilliant form and will take confidence from reaching another cup final in midweek. Meanwhile, Motherwell's recent form has been woeful, and it does not look like it is about to change any time soon, so we think the Rovers will claim a famous victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Motherwell
43.05% ( -0.03)	24.57% ( 0.02)	32.37% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 58.26% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.42% (

-0.09)

44.57% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.05% (

-0.09)

66.94% (

0.09)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

-0.06)

20.8% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54% (

-0.09)

53.46% (

0.08)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

-0.04)

26.43% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.4% (

-0.05)

61.6% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 43.05%

Motherwell 32.37%

Draw 24.57%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Motherwell
2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.05%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.37%