Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
42.46% ( -0.01) | 27.82% | 29.72% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.31% | 58.69% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.77% | 79.23% ( -0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.67% ( -0) | 27.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.22% ( -0) | 62.77% ( -0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% ( 0) | 35.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% ( 0) | 72.21% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 12.56% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.06% Total : 29.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |