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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 8, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Hibs logo

Motherwell
2 - 3
Hibernian

McKinstry (59'), Tierney (90+1')
Slattery (57'), Johansen (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nisbet (16', 52', 74')
Newell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Hibernian
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Hibernian

In a match with consequences at the bottom end of the Scottish Premiership table, we expect a feisty affair that will produce plenty of opportunities for both teams. On this occasion, Motherwell and Hibernian will not be separated, and a point apiece will have to do despite their endeavours. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawHibernian
34.96% (0.586 0.59) 26.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 38.53% (-0.596 -0.6)
Both teams to score 52.41% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)52.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.88% (0.028000000000002 0.03)74.12% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.384 0.38)28.64% (-0.383 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (0.476 0.48)64.45% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.313 -0.31)26.55% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.42 -0.42)61.77% (0.42 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 34.96%
    Hibernian 38.52%
    Draw 26.5%
MotherwellDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.087 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 10.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.69% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.52%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hibernian

Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Hibernian
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Mar 13, 2022 12.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Motherwell
1-2
Hibernian
Efford (43')
Roberts (7'), McGinley (80'), Lamie (83')
Mugabi (2')
Melkersen (15', 37')
Melkersen (11'), Jasper (54'), Allan (85'), Macey (90+3')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Hibernian
1-1
Motherwell
Nisbet (33')
Newell (64'), Campbell (74')
Watt (60')
Slattery (42'), van Veen (75'), Goss (90+2')
Aug 1, 2021 4.30pm
Motherwell
2-3
Hibernian
Van Veen (12'), Mugabi (29')
Carroll (22'), Slattery (31'), van Veen (55'), O'Donnell (69'), Kelly (70')
Magennis (17'), Doidge (56'), Boyle (70' pen.)
Hanlon (48'), Stevenson (59'), Porteous (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic109102932628
2Aberdeen109102091128
3RangersRangers10613158719
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd114431513216
5Motherwell105141313016
6Dundee113351720-312
7St Mirren123361521-612
8Kilmarnock113351523-812
9Ross County122641018-812
10St Johnstone123181525-1010
11Hearts122371419-59
12Hibernian111551016-68


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