We said: St Mirren 2-1 Motherwell
Both teams have enjoyed a promising start to the 2023-24 season, and with the two sides brimming with confidence, we think that Saturday's encounter will be a closely-fought contest.
St Mirren won their most recent home fixture against Motherwell in January, and we believe that they will utilise home advantage once again to secure their place in the quarter-finals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.