Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
47.7% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( -0) | 26.65% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.91% ( 0.02) | 52.09% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.18% ( 0.02) | 73.81% ( -0.02) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( -0) | 21.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.92% ( -0) | 55.07% ( 0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.66% ( 0.03) | 34.34% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.96% ( 0.03) | 71.04% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |