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Alloa Athletic
Annan Athletic
Arbroath
Cove Rangers
Dumbarton
Inverness CT
Kelty Hearts
Montrose
Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir
Airdrieonians
Scottish League One | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2021 at 7pm UK
Penny Cars Stadium
Falkirk

Airdrieonians
2 - 0
Falkirk

Thomson (88'), Turner (90+4')
Walker (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomis (4')
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Airdrieonians and Falkirk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawFalkirk
43.25%26.7%30.06%
Both teams to score 50.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58%54.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21%75.8%
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.05%24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.41%59.6%
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.48%69.53%
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 43.25%
    Falkirk 30.06%
    Draw 26.7%
AirdrieoniansDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.25%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.06%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Airdrieonians
2-1
Falkirk
Roy (9'), Carrick (81' pen.)
Fordyce (38')
Telfer (35')
Mercer (20'), Fotheringham (38'), Dixon (81'), Miller (90+1')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 9
Falkirk
0-1
Airdrieonians

Dowds (26'), Dixon (89')
Connell (82')
Kerr (53'), Connell (89')
Apr 4, 2020 7.20pm
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Airdrieonians
1-1
Falkirk
Carrick (39' pen.)
McCann (60')
McMillan (34')
Toshney (27'), Connolly (36'), Buchanan (39'), MacLean (66')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arbroath2010463123834
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir219572920932
3Kelty Hearts218762819931
4Alloa AthleticAlloa217862723429
5Cove Rangers208483025528
6Queen of the SouthQotS207581822-426
7Montrose206681921-224
8Annan AthleticAnnan2055101834-1620
9Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness197751920-113
10Dumbarton205782638-127


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