Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Annan Athletic win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Annan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.38% ( 3.23) | 24.04% ( -0.09) | 37.58% ( -3.13) |
Both teams to score 61.33% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.94% ( 0.72) | 41.05% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.55% ( 0.73) | 63.45% ( -0.72) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( 2) | 21.49% ( -2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.47% ( 2.98) | 54.53% ( -2.98) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.11% ( -1.2) | 21.89% ( 1.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% ( -1.86) | 55.14% ( 1.86) |
Score Analysis |
Annan Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.41) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.65% Total : 38.38% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.51) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.6) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.42) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |