Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.