Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
59.96% ( 0.09) | 21.56% ( 0.02) | 18.48% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.31% ( -0.25) | 43.68% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.92% ( -0.25) | 66.07% ( 0.25) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% ( -0.06) | 14.16% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.15% ( -0.11) | 41.84% ( 0.1) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.65% ( -0.27) | 37.34% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.87% ( -0.27) | 74.13% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Dumbarton |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.95% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.55% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 18.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |