Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.37%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Montrose win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
73.62% ( -0.45) | 16.43% ( 0.09) | 9.95% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 47.97% ( 1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.6% ( 0.71) | 39.4% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.26% ( 0.74) | 61.74% ( -0.74) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% ( 0.07) | 9.24% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.74% ( 0.17) | 31.25% ( -0.17) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.85% ( 1.2) | 47.15% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.4% ( 0.89) | 82.6% ( -0.89) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Montrose |
2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.33) 1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.32) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 73.6% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.43% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 9.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |