Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 74.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 9.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
74.67% ( 0.07) | 15.7% ( -0.03) | 9.62% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.38% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.11% ( 0.02) | 36.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.93% ( 0.02) | 59.07% ( -0.02) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.61% ( 0.02) | 8.39% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.83% ( 0.05) | 29.17% ( -0.05) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.9% ( -0.07) | 46.09% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.21% ( -0.05) | 81.79% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Queen of the South |
2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.6% Total : 74.67% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 15.7% | 0-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 9.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |