Scottish League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ochilview Park
Stenhousemuir2 - 1Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Stenhousemuir and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Stenhousemuir
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 0-1 Arbroath
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Arbroath |
58.69% ( 0.64) | 22.15% ( -0.3) | 19.16% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( 0.81) | 45.28% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( 0.77) | 67.62% ( -0.77) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.91% ( 0.49) | 15.1% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.36% ( 0.91) | 43.64% ( -0.91) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( 0.11) | 37.54% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.68% ( 0.11) | 74.32% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir 58.68%
Arbroath 19.16%
Draw 22.14%
| Stenhousemuir | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.14% | 0-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.16% |
Form Guide
