Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
37.87% ( 0.11) | 27.55% ( -0.02) | 34.58% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.4% ( 0.09) | 56.6% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.43% ( 0.07) | 77.57% ( -0.07) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% ( 0.11) | 28.9% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.22% ( 0.13) | 64.78% ( -0.13) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.06% ( -0.01) | 30.94% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.76% ( -0.01) | 67.23% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.87% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |