Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Montrose win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stenhousemuir in this match.
Result | ||
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Montrose |
45.38% ( -0.02) | 26.19% ( -0) | 28.42% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.93% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.79% ( 0.02) | 53.2% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.23% ( 0.02) | 74.76% ( -0.02) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.62% ( 0) | 23.38% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.65% ( 0.01) | 57.35% ( -0) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.47% ( 0.03) | 33.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.83% ( 0.03) | 70.17% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Stenhousemuir | Draw | Montrose |
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.83% Total : 45.38% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 27 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 25 |
4 | Kelty Hearts | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Montrose | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Cove Rangers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Dumbarton | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 1 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |