Scottish League Two | Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
Spartans2 - 1Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Spartans and Elgin City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dumbarton 1-1 Spartans
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Elgin 0-0 Forfar (2-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
51.66% ( -0.26) | 24.12% ( 0.61) | 24.21% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( -2.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -2.98) | 47.76% ( 2.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -2.81) | 69.95% ( 2.81) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% ( -1.22) | 18.48% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.32% ( -2.1) | 49.68% ( 2.1) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -1.92) | 34.05% ( 1.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.27% ( -2.12) | 70.73% ( 2.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Spartans 51.66%
Elgin City 24.21%
Draw 24.12%
| Spartans | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.32% Total : 51.66% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.75)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 24.21% |
