Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Hearts1 - 4Celtic
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hearts 0-2 Celtic
Hearts have been resilient defensively so far this term, but they are far from their best going forward, while the league leaders should have enough to break them down at Tynecastle Park. Celtic have won each of the last seven Premiership meetings between these two sides, and we can only envisage another triumph for the Glasgow outfit on Sunday given the trajectory of their campaign thus far. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 55.01%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
22.93% ( -0.34) | 22.06% ( -0.03) | 55.01% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.11% ( -0.27) | 39.89% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.28) | 62.25% ( 0.28) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.44) | 30.84% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.88% ( -0.52) | 67.11% ( 0.52) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.54% ( 0.02) | 14.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.59% ( 0.05) | 42.41% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Hearts 22.93%
Celtic 55.01%
Draw 22.05%
| Hearts | Draw | Celtic |
| 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.83% Total : 22.93% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.34% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 55.01% |
How you voted: Hearts vs Celtic
Hearts
12.8%Draw
2.6%Celtic
84.6%39
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 2.15pm
Mar 11, 2023 12.15pm
Mar 8, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2022 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 3pm
