Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Celtic in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Celtic.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
13.82% ( -0) | 17.8% ( -0.03) | 68.38% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.74% ( 0.15) | 35.26% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.72% ( 0.17) | 57.28% ( -0.17) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.07% ( 0.09) | 37.93% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.3% ( 0.09) | 74.7% ( -0.09) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.6% ( 0.05) | 9.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.38% ( 0.12) | 31.62% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 13.82% | 1-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.8% | 0-2 @ 9.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |