Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
30.32% ( -0.01) | 26.79% ( -0) | 42.89% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.17% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% ( 0) | 54.67% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% ( 0) | 76% ( -0) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.12% ( -0) | 32.88% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.54% ( -0) | 69.45% ( 0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( 0) | 25.25% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( 0) | 60% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.32% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |