Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 87.3%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 3.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Dundee United |
87.3% ( 1.24) | 9.03% ( -0.77) | 3.68% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 40.25% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.25% ( 1.5) | 28.75% ( -1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.33% ( 1.82) | 49.68% ( -1.81) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.68% ( 0.47) | 4.32% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.11% ( 1.44) | 17.89% ( -1.43) |
Dundee United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.07% ( -0.9) | 57.93% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.44% ( -0.5) | 89.56% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Dundee United |
3-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.25) 4-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.34) 5-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.17) 6-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.09) 6-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.2) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 87.28% | 1-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.03% | 0-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.14% Total : 3.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |