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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
May 14, 2022 at 12.15pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
1 - 3
Rangers

Haring (24')
Simms (16')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Itten (33'), Lowry (45+1'), McKinnon (81')
Lowry (53'), King (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Hearts 1-1 Rangers

With future games in mind, there is every chance that there will be changes aplenty, although it is unclear which team will benefit from that. All things considered, we have to back a low-scoring draw, Hearts potentially netting a late equaliser when Rangers begin to think more about Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 49%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
25.77% (0.698 0.7) 25.23% (0.534 0.53) 49% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (-1.63 -1.63)51.05% (1.632 1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (-1.45 -1.45)72.9% (1.45 1.45)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)34.5% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.78% (-0.312 -0.31)71.22% (0.315 0.31)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-1.161 -1.16)20.85% (1.164 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-1.856 -1.86)53.54% (1.857 1.86)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 25.77%
    Rangers 48.99%
    Draw 25.23%
HeartsDrawRangers
1-0 @ 7.66% (0.431 0.43)
2-1 @ 6.39% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.07% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.77%
1-1 @ 12% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 11.27% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 48.99%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
Rangers
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Feb 6, 2022 4pm
Rangers
5-0
Hearts
Morelos (11', 64'), Kamara (72'), Arfield (75'), Sakala (84')
Ughelumba (27'), Balogun (53')

Atkinson (59'), Kingsley (87')
Dec 12, 2021 12pm
Hearts
0-2
Rangers

Ginnelly (35'), Halkett (37'), Gordon (54'), Devlin (84'), Haring (85')
Ginnelly (80')
Morelos (9'), Aribo (13')
Tavernier (69'), Aribo (70'), McGregor (76'), Barisic (81'), Kent (86')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Rangers
1-1
Hearts
Lundstram (40')
Goldson (23'), Aribo (36'), Balogun (47'), Bacuna (87')
Halkett (90')
Cochrane (16'), Baningime (37'), Devlin (75'), Kingsley (87')
Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
Hearts
1-0
Rangers
Bozanic (58')
Damour (38'), Clare (81')

Jack (25'), Stewart (66'), Kent (90')
Jan 26, 2020 3pm
Hearts
2-1
Rangers
Naismith (56'), Boyce (84')
Henderson (68')
Kent (46')
Flanagan (28'), Jack (42')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1211103543134
2Aberdeen12101125121331
3RangersRangers12723179823
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd135531914520
5Motherwell126151616019
6St Mirren145361923-418
7Dundee134362225-315
8Ross County143651222-1015
9St Johnstone144191727-1013
10Kilmarnock133371526-1112
11Hearts142391524-99
12Hibernian131571222-108


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