Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Rangers | 38 | 49 | 89 |
3 | Hearts | 38 | 10 | 61 |
4 | Livingston | 38 | -5 | 49 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Motherwell | 38 | -19 | 46 |
7 | Hibernian | 38 | -4 | 45 |
8 | St Mirren | 38 | -18 | 44 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
52.75% | 24.59% | 22.66% |
Both teams to score 50.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.86% | 51.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% | 72.99% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% | 19.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% | 51.13% |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.67% | 37.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% | 74.11% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Hibernian |
1-0 @ 11.86% 2-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 5.26% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 52.75% | 1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.59% | 0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 5.76% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.68% Total : 22.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |