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Hearts logo
Scottish Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 16, 2022 at 12.15pm UK
Hampden Park
Hibs logo

Hearts
2 - 1
Hibernian

Simms (16'), Kingsley (21')
Cochrane (70'), Haring (82'), Moore (84'), Gordon (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cadden (22')
Newell (11'), Clarke (25'), Scott (48'), Campbell (82'), Hanlon (82')
Newell (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

Last Six:
Last Game: Rangers 2-0 Hearts
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Hibernian

Last Six:
Last Game: Hibernian 4-0 St Johnstone
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Next Game: Hibernian vs. Clyde
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Hearts 2-0 Hibernian

 When it comes to cup semi-finals, there is sometimes the perception that the underdog can raise their game or shake off poor form. However, in this instance, we can only back Hearts to come through with flying colours to set up a showdown with one of the Glasgow giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 25.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Hibernian win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawHibernian
49.32%25.47%25.21%
Both teams to score 50.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6%52.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92%74.07%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74%21.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82%54.18%
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29%35.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52%72.48%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.31%
    Hibernian 25.21%
    Draw 25.46%
HeartsDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 9.1%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 7.59%
2-2 @ 4.83%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.82%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.21%

How you voted: Hearts vs Hibernian

Hearts
85.7%
Draw
0.0%
Hibernian
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-1
Hibernian
Halliday (45+1', 58'), Kingsley (47')
Haring (70')
Wright (5')
Doyle-Hayes (45+2'), Mueller (57'), Bushiri (71')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Hibernian
0-0
Hearts

Stevenson (11'), Newell (58')

Moore (12'), Halliday (17'), Devlin (45+1'), Woodburn (90+1')
Sep 12, 2021 12pm
Hearts
0-0
Hibernian

Cochrane (47')

Newell (56')
Oct 31, 2020 5pm
Hearts
2-1
Hibernian
Wighton (60'), Boyce (111' pen.)
Popescu (44'), Halliday (63'), Smith (69'), Halkett (80')
Doidge (67')
Hanlon (96'), Gogic (113')
Mar 3, 2020 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-3
Hearts
Hallberg (89')
Allan (45'), Stevenson (84'), Omeonga (85')
Clare (53' pen.), Bozanic (65'), Washington (80')
Halkett (21'), Naismith (85')
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