Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
47.75% | 25.35% | 26.9% |
Both teams to score 52.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.26% | 50.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% | 72.64% |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.74% | 21.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.81% | 54.19% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% | 33.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% | 70.05% |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.52% 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.46% Total : 47.74% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.39% Total : 26.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |