Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.