Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
We said: St Johnstone 1-1 Motherwell
There is little to split these two sides, who have suffered a slight downturn in results across the past 18 months. St Johnstone were spirited when claiming a draw against Aberdeen in midweek, while Motherwell have slightly improved of late.
As such, with Ross County unlikely to gain anything away to Celtic in a simultaneous fixture, both sides may settle for moving one point clear of their relegation rivals by sharing the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 39.05% . A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.18%) . The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result St Johnstone Draw Motherwell 33.38% ( 0.06) 27.57% ( 0) 39.05% ( -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.02)
43.17% ( 0.01) 56.83% ( -0.01)
22.24% ( 0.01) 77.76% ( -0.01)
68.15% ( 0.05) 31.85% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.71% ( 0.06) 68.29% ( -0.06)
71.67% ( -0.03) 28.33% ( 0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.94% ( -0.04) 64.06% ( 0.04)
St Johnstone 33.38%
Motherwell 39.05%
Draw 27.57%
St Johnstone Draw Motherwell 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 33.38% 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.57% 0-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.05%
How you voted: St Johnstone vs Motherwell
St Johnstone
Draw
Motherwell
8
rhs 2.0
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