Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
37.2% ( -0.8) | 25.68% ( -0.15) | 37.11% ( 0.95) |
Both teams to score 55.34% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.24% ( 0.7) | 48.76% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% ( 0.63) | 70.87% ( -0.64) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% ( -0.12) | 25.58% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.54% ( -0.16) | 60.46% ( 0.16) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% ( 0.86) | 25.63% ( -0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% ( 1.16) | 60.52% ( -1.17) |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 21 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 57 | 7 | 50 | 56 |
2 | RangersRangers | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 41 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
4 | Aberdeen | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 31 |
6 | St Mirren | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 27 |
7 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
8 | Hibernian | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 23 |
12 | St Johnstone | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |