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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Fir Park
Aberdeen logo

Motherwell
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Wilson (34'), Maswanhise (45')
Zdravkovski (8'), Maswanhise (15'), Kettlewell (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Palaversa (70'), Shinnie (85')
Rubezic (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 1-0 Motherwell
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-2 Ross County
Thursday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-1 Aberdeen

Both sides will be eager to get back to winning ways and end their ongoing winless streaks here, leading us to expect a tightly-contested encounter, and for that reason, we believe this one will end all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
37.2% (-0.795 -0.8) 25.68% (-0.152 -0.15) 37.11% (0.945 0.95)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.559 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (0.702 0.7)48.76% (-0.703 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.13% (0.632 0.63)70.87% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.117 -0.12)25.58% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.54% (-0.158 -0.16)60.46% (0.156 0.16)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37% (0.86499999999999 0.86)25.63% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (1.164 1.16)60.52% (-1.166 -1.17)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 37.2%
    Aberdeen 37.11%
    Draw 25.67%
MotherwellDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 8.94% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.219 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.143 0.14)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.155 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.097 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.082 0.08)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 37.11%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Aberdeen

Motherwell
47.6%
Draw
27.0%
Aberdeen
25.4%
63
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aberdeen
2-1
Motherwell
Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')
Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Aberdeen
1-0
Motherwell

McGinn (56')
Vale (56')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Motherwell
0-1
Aberdeen

Kettlewell (2'), O'Donnell (85')
Clarkson (25')
Hoilett (1'), Roos (90+2')
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Aberdeen
3-3
Motherwell
Lopes (31', 50'), Gartenmann (37')
MacDonald (83'), Shinnie (90')
Bair (5' pen., 22'), Devine (26')
Nicholson (61'), McGinn (87'), Butcher (90+4'), Kelly (90+5')
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Motherwell
2-4
Aberdeen
Bair (78'), Biereth (90+3')
Butcher (51'), Wilkinson (52'), Spencer (54'), Biereth (59'), Kelly (69'), Zdravkovski (90+4')
McGrath (26', 68'), Devlin (44'), Lopes (74')
Roos (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic2118215775056
2RangersRangers21125438172141
3Dundee UnitedDundee Utd229763024634
4Aberdeen2110473230234
5Motherwell229492734-731
6St Mirren2283112737-1027
7Dundee2275103438-426
8Hibernian226883135-426
9Kilmarnock2367102537-1225
10Ross County226792238-1625
11Hearts2265112531-623
12St Johnstone2243152444-2015


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