Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 74.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
74.7% ( -0.08) | 15.24% ( 0.13) | 10.05% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.93% ( -0.87) | 33.07% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.2% ( -1) | 54.8% ( 1.01) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.52% ( -0.22) | 7.48% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.13% ( -0.56) | 26.87% ( 0.56) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.44% ( -0.72) | 42.56% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.08% ( -0.62) | 78.92% ( 0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.38% Total : 74.7% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 15.24% | 1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.05% Total : 10.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |