Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 16.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.