Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.