Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.31%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
36.87% ( 0.23) | 25.82% ( 0.11) | 37.31% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% ( -0.48) | 49.39% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% ( -0.43) | 71.44% ( 0.43) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.09) | 26.06% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% ( -0.12) | 61.11% ( 0.12) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.18% ( -0.41) | 25.82% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.22% ( -0.56) | 60.78% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.87% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |