Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
40.26% ( -7.41) | 24.8% ( 0.29) | 34.93% ( 7.12) |
Both teams to score 58.23% ( 2.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.06% ( 1.63) | 44.94% ( -1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.7% ( 1.55) | 67.3% ( -1.55) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( -2.65) | 22.27% ( 2.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( -4.15) | 55.71% ( 4.15) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% ( 5.44) | 25.08% ( -5.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% ( 6.98) | 59.77% ( -6.97) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.71) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -1.36) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( -1.64) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.76) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -1.16) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.45) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.57) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.26% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.43) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.4) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 1.16) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 1.13) 1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.98) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.57) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.8) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.47) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.3) Other @ 2.67% Total : 34.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |