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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Livingston logo

Hibernian
2 - 3
Livingston

Boyle (61'), Campbell (86')
Newell (6'), Doidge (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Obita (8' og.), Anderson (63'), Sangare (75')
Guthrie (34'), Brandon (40'), Sangare (77'), George (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Livingston, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 0-5 Aston Villa
Wednesday, August 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Hibernian 1-1 Livingston

These are two teams that have struggled at the start of the Scottish Premiership campaign, and that is something that could be reflected in this match. A lack of confidence from both will likely lead to this being quite cagey with neither club wanting to give up an edge, which is why a draw could end up taking place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
HibernianDrawLivingston
40.26% (-7.407 -7.41) 24.8% (0.292 0.29) 34.93% (7.118 7.12)
Both teams to score 58.23% (2.387 2.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (1.633 1.63)44.94% (-1.631 -1.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (1.552 1.55)67.3% (-1.549 -1.55)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.73% (-2.65 -2.65)22.27% (2.653 2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.29% (-4.148 -4.15)55.71% (4.152 4.15)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (5.442 5.44)25.08% (-5.439 -5.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (6.975 6.98)59.77% (-6.973 -6.97)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 40.26%
    Livingston 34.94%
    Draw 24.8%
HibernianDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.712 -0.71)
1-0 @ 8.39% (-1.363 -1.36)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-1.643 -1.64)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.755 -0.76)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-1.158 -1.16)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.447 -0.45)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.572 -0.57)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.26%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.433 0.43)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.401 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.8%
1-2 @ 8.02% (1.157 1.16)
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.62 0.62)
0-2 @ 5.34% (1.126 1.13)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.983 0.98)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.566 0.57)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.795 0.8)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.473 0.47)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.304 0.3)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.94%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Livingston

Hibernian
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Livingston
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Livingston
1-4
Hibernian
Nouble (9')
Youan (28', 37'), Omeonga (61' og.), Kukharevych (90+7')
Dec 24, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 18
Hibernian
4-0
Livingston
Nisbet (33'), Cadden (35'), Magennis (40', 50')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Livingston
2-1
Hibernian
Nouble (6'), Obileye (86')
Montano (52')
Kenneh (51')
Boyle (52'), Cabraja (80')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Livingston
1-0
Hibernian
Pittman (57')
Pittman (86'), Holt (90+2'), Kelly (90+4')

Melkersen (51'), Henderson (90+2')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hibernian
2-3
Livingston
Mitchell (6'), Cadden (32')
Murphy (79')
Obileye (18'), Fitzwater (53'), Forrest (59')
Holt (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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