Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
46.89% ( 0.06) | 25.29% ( -0.04) | 27.82% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.31% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.1% ( 0.17) | 49.9% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.11% ( 0.16) | 71.89% ( -0.15) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.7% ( 0.1) | 21.3% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.76% ( 0.15) | 54.24% ( -0.15) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.74% ( 0.08) | 32.26% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.25% ( 0.09) | 68.75% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.88% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |