Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
36.66% ( 0.2) | 27.06% ( -0.04) | 36.28% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 50.73% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.4% ( 0.16) | 54.59% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.06% ( 0.13) | 75.93% ( -0.14) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.34% ( 0.2) | 28.65% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.53% ( 0.25) | 64.47% ( -0.25) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.02) | 28.88% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.03) | 64.75% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |