Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 52.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
22.4% | 25.44% | 52.15% |
Both teams to score 47.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.32% | 54.68% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% | 76% |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.44% | 39.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.75% | 76.25% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.01% | 20.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.25% | 53.76% |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 7.7% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 8.3% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 5.27% 1-3 @ 4.88% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-4 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |