Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.