Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 51.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.