MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 15:54:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Plantio

Burgos
3 - 2
Villarreal II

Matos (50'), Bermejo (63'), Grego (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ferrari (74', 90+5')
Ontiveros (26'), Fores (59'), Ferrari (81'), Pascual (87')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Burgos and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tenerife 2-1 Burgos
Sunday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 3-1 Espanyol
Monday, October 9 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.

Result
BurgosDrawVillarreal II
52.92% (0.27699999999999 0.28) 26.73% (0.119 0.12) 20.34% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 41.87% (-0.783 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.95% (-0.748 -0.75)61.04% (0.748 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (-0.564 -0.56)81.03% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Burgos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (-0.2 -0.2)23.31% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.74% (-0.291 -0.29)57.26% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.6% (-0.876 -0.88)45.4% (0.876 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.75% (-0.701 -0.7)81.25% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Burgos 52.92%
    Villarreal II 20.34%
    Draw 26.73%
BurgosDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 15.41% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 11.22% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.45% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 52.92%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.58% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.92% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.34%

How you voted: Burgos vs Villarreal II

Burgos
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Villarreal II
33.3%
6
Head to Head
May 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 38
Burgos
1-0
Villarreal II
Artola (7')
Oct 1, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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