Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.