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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Salernitana

AC Milan
1 - 1
Salernitana

Giroud (45+1')
Giroud (59'), Tomori (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dia (61')
Sambia (85'), Coulibaly (89'), Dia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Milan have claimed three straight wins at home in all competitions without conceding a goal and are likely to get another routine win over Salernitana, having had an extra day to recuperate following midweek exertions in Europe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
70.62% (-0.187 -0.19) 18.42% (0.099 0.1) 10.95% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.8% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)45.61% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.201 -0.2)67.93% (0.19800000000001 0.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34% (-0.113 -0.11)11.66% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.28% (-0.238 -0.24)36.72% (0.234 0.23)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.72% (0.021999999999998 0.02)49.28% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.84% (0.013 0.01)84.15% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 70.6%
    Salernitana 10.95%
    Draw 18.42%
AC MilanDrawSalernitana
2-0 @ 13.26%
1-0 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 9.5% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.6%
1-1 @ 8.74% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.42%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.039 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 10.95%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Salernitana

AC Milan
82.9%
Draw
12.5%
Salernitana
4.6%
152
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 11.30am
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna187832723429
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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