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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Arechi
Milan logo

Salernitana
1 - 2
AC Milan

Bonazzoli (83')
Piatek (73'), Bradaric (76'), Coulibaly (81'), Daniliuc (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (10'), Tonali (15')
Giroud (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fenerbahce 3-0 Salernitana
Saturday, December 10 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: PSV 3-0 AC Milan
Friday, December 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Salernitana 1-2 AC Milan

Milan must keep winning in order to stay in touch with Napoli at a key stage of the season, and we are expecting the reigning champions to navigate their way to an important three points on Wednesday, but they might have to suffer for stages of the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Salernitana win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
21.36% (1.157 1.16) 21.39% (0.073 0.07) 57.25% (-1.225 -1.23)
Both teams to score 59.27% (1.601 1.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (1.265 1.27)38.73% (-1.261 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (1.321 1.32)61.03% (-1.317 -1.32)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (1.816 1.82)31.58% (-1.81 -1.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (2.043 2.04)67.98% (-2.038 -2.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (0.045000000000002 0.05)13.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.73% (0.087000000000003 0.09)40.27% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 21.36%
    AC Milan 57.25%
    Draw 21.39%
SalernitanaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 5.64% (0.231 0.23)
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.111 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.17% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.08% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 9.79% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.241 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.22% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.39%
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.55% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.502 -0.5)
1-3 @ 6.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.73% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.88% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.92% (0.087 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 57.25%

How you voted: Salernitana vs AC Milan

Salernitana
11.3%
Draw
13.5%
AC Milan
75.2%
133
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
AC Milan
Bonazzoli (29'), Djuric (72')
Ederson (52'), Djuric (72')
Messias (5'), Rebic (77')
Bennacer (35'), Giroud (60'), Rebic (70'), Romagnoli (83')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Como194782131-1019
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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