Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
53.31% ( -0) | 24.34% | 22.35% |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.54% ( -0.01) | 50.46% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% ( -0) | 72.39% ( 0) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0) | 18.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.66% ( -0.01) | 50.34% ( 0) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.76% ( -0) | 37.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.97% ( -0) | 74.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.65% 3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.43% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.69% Total : 22.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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