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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Salernitana

Lecce
1 - 2
Salernitana

Espeto (23')
Maleh (53'), Baschirotto (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Coulibaly (40'), Bradaric (43'), Sambia (80'), Nicolussi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, January 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Salernitana

Putting aside their current woes, Salernitana have proven they can cause teams trouble away from home - three wins and as many draws in 10 road trips attest to that. While Lecce's recent form is far better, they are not the most prolific side and may have to settle for a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSalernitana
53.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.34%22.35%
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.02% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 53.3%
    Salernitana 22.35%
    Draw 24.33%
LecceDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Lecce vs Salernitana

Lecce
61.7%
Draw
27.7%
Salernitana
10.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Coulibaly (10')
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Lecce
4-0
Salernitana
Lapadula (4', 76'), Falco (61'), Majer (81')
Calderoni (33'), La Mantia (59')

Kiyine (45')
Jan 26, 2019 5pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Anderson (71')
Minala (72')
Mancosu (4'), Palombi (20')
Lucioni (27'), Tachtsidis (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010


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