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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Salernitana

Lecce
1 - 2
Salernitana

Espeto (23')
Maleh (53'), Baschirotto (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dia (5'), Vilhena (20')
Coulibaly (40'), Bradaric (43'), Sambia (80'), Nicolussi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, January 21 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Salernitana

Putting aside their current woes, Salernitana have proven they can cause teams trouble away from home - three wins and as many draws in 10 road trips attest to that. While Lecce's recent form is far better, they are not the most prolific side and may have to settle for a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSalernitana
53.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 24.34%22.35%
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)72.39% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.87% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.66% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)50.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.76% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)37.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)74.02% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 53.3%
    Salernitana 22.35%
    Draw 24.33%
LecceDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.3%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.43%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Lecce vs Salernitana

Lecce
61.7%
Draw
27.7%
Salernitana
10.6%
94
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Gonzalez (55' og.)
Coulibaly (10')
Ceesay (43'), Espeto (83')
Apr 2, 2021 6pm
Lecce
2-0
Salernitana
Pettinari (44'), Maggio (72')

Bogdan (64')
Dec 15, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-1
Lecce
Capezzi (11')
Dziczek (29'), Djuric (31'), Tutino (74'), Giannetti (90+7')
Mancosu (53' pen.)
Coda (29'), Stepinski (90+2')
Aug 18, 2019 7.45pm
Third Round
Lecce
4-0
Salernitana
Lapadula (4', 76'), Falco (61'), Majer (81')
Calderoni (33'), La Mantia (59')

Kiyine (45')
Jan 26, 2019 5pm
Salernitana
1-2
Lecce
Anderson (71')
Minala (72')
Mancosu (4'), Palombi (20')
Lucioni (27'), Tachtsidis (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916


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