Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Torino had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
55.66% ( 0) | 24.18% | 20.16% |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.72% ( 0) | 52.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( 0) | 73.97% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.34% ( 0) | 18.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.02% ( 0) | 49.98% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.5% ( 0) | 40.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.89% ( 0) | 77.11% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 12.68% 2-0 @ 10.65% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.96% 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.66% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.26% Total : 20.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |