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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 6, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lazio logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Lazio

Bennacer (17'), Hernandez (29')
Calabria (42'), Thiaw (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romagnoli (20'), Marusic (24'), Casale (60'), Pellegrini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cremonese
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sassuolo
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Lazio

 Lazio have won nine of their 16 away games in Serie A this season, but a trip to San Siro presents its own unique challenge, and they may have to settle for a draw on this occasion. Simply scoring against the Rome club is something to be celebrated, such is their clean-sheet record, but Milan need more than single-point returns if they are to finish in Italy's top four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.34%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLazio
52.34% (-0.4 -0.4) 25.46% (0.126 0.13) 22.2% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 47.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05% (-0.197 -0.2)54.95% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77% (-0.163 -0.16)76.23% (0.164 0.16)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.246 -0.25)21.02% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)53.81% (0.386 0.39)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (0.166 0.17)39.92% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (0.15 0.15)76.58% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 52.32%
    Lazio 22.2%
    Draw 25.46%
AC MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 7.71% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.52% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lazio

AC Milan
51.2%
Draw
23.3%
Lazio
25.6%
129
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Lazio
4-0
AC Milan
Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 34
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
gameweek 3
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 33
Lazio
3-0
AC Milan
Correa (2', 51'), Immobile (87')
Acerbi (19'), Milinkovic-Savic (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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